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2024-12-14 05:05:37

As for whether it will fall below the support of the lower rail, there is this possibility, but at present, the index is still a long way from the support below. Combined with the high-level statement, I think this possibility is relatively small at present, so there is no need to worry in advance. Let's take it one step at a time.The national conference on development and reform was held in Beijing. The conference emphasized that we should increase the countercyclical adjustment of macro policies, implement more active macro policies, enhance the consistency of macro policy orientation, and do a good job in economic propaganda and expected guidance. Expand domestic demand in all directions. We will do a good job in the "two new" work, implement special actions to boost consumption, and promote consumption expansion, quality improvement and efficiency improvement. Promote the further and comprehensive deepening of the implementation of reform measures. Focus on important areas and key links to carry out key reforms. Focus on the construction of a unified national market and revise and introduce a new version of the negative list of market access. Intensify efforts to promote the development of the private economy and promote the promulgation of the Private Economy Promotion Law as soon as possible. Vigorously support the high-quality development of manufacturing industry, accelerate the development of emerging industries and the cultivation of future industries, and do a good job in the high-quality development of digital economy.As for whether it will fall below the support of the lower rail, there is this possibility, but at present, the index is still a long way from the support below. Combined with the high-level statement, I think this possibility is relatively small at present, so there is no need to worry in advance. Let's take it one step at a time.


The latest voice of the central bankThe relevant person in charge of the Monetary Policy Department of the People's Bank of China said that next year, we will deepen the market-oriented reform of the exchange rate, strengthen the management of exchange rate expectations, effectively respond to external shocks, resolutely guard against the risk of exchange rate overshoot, and maintain the basic stability of the RMB exchange rate at a reasonable and balanced level. The People's Bank of China will also improve the overall effectiveness of policies in accordance with the requirements put forward by the Central Economic Work Conference.The concept of providing for the aged and the concept of silver-haired economy also belong to the big consumption field, so there are still many sub-sectors in the consumption sector that are worth exploring, and this field has a broad prospect. After all, the aging process will accelerate again, and the certainty of the foreseeable future is still relatively large.


This week, the Shanghai Stock Exchange took written warning and other regulatory measures against 202 abnormal securities trading behaviors, such as lifting and suppressing, false declaration, etc., focused on monitoring the delisting risk warning stocks such as *ST Zhuo Lang, conducted special inspections on 14 major events of listed companies, and reported one clue of suspected illegal cases to the CSRC.For next week's trend as a whole, we still have to be prepared for it. If it can stabilize above 3392 points on Monday, the short-term trend will not weaken completely, and the market may once again challenge the pressure level in the short term. If it breaks above 3425 points, the upside will be opened again. If once the support level near 3392 points falls, the short-term trend will weaken completely, so it is very possible for everyone to reduce their positions substantially in time and prepare for further weakening, and it is very possible to test the support of the lower rail again. The previous callback was to stop falling and stabilize near the lower rail, and this time this possibility is not ruled out, so it is necessary to make good or bad plans in advance, otherwise you will be at a loss.For next week's trend as a whole, we still have to be prepared for it. If it can stabilize above 3392 points on Monday, the short-term trend will not weaken completely, and the market may once again challenge the pressure level in the short term. If it breaks above 3425 points, the upside will be opened again. If once the support level near 3392 points falls, the short-term trend will weaken completely, so it is very possible for everyone to reduce their positions substantially in time and prepare for further weakening, and it is very possible to test the support of the lower rail again. The previous callback was to stop falling and stabilize near the lower rail, and this time this possibility is not ruled out, so it is necessary to make good or bad plans in advance, otherwise you will be at a loss.

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